I'm very happy with my poker play right now. Learning and improving and building confidence ... and reenforcing that it is very unwise for me to try to do two things at once. But today's not about poker, at least not right now. We'll chat more on it later. Let's get to the IMPORTANT stuff!!!
It's that time of year again!!! The Kentucky Derby is nice, but to a horse racing aficionado like me, Breeder's Cup Day is THE day to test one's skills as the best horses battle the best. To heck with poker; I was playing the ponies and perusing the Racing Form long before I really knew anything about the river, donkeys or Doyle Brunson. Poker will still be there after this weekend; for now...
This year Breeder's Cup Day is expanded to 2 days, with 3 new events today (Friday). I'll get to Saturday's Great Eight races late tonight or tomorrow morning. For now, with the contests on ESPN live this afternoon and easily wagerable at Bodog, other online connections and your friendly neighborhood track, casino or OTB, here's the Sham Sayz on what we want to see happen:
-- Filly and Mare Sprint (Race 8): Miss Macy Sue seems to be the smart horse and offers good odds, but I just don't feel her today. I dislike going with chalk (no value), but my bottom line has always been to pick THE winner; so it's hard to get away from Dream Rush and La Traviata. Brother Brent swears by Wild Gams and Oprah Winney. I think I've got my four-horse exacta and trifecta boxes; just hope they finish in a best-paying order. WINNER: 3-Dream Rush. DARKHORSE: 10-Baroness Thatcher.
-- Juvenile Turf (Race 9): Lots of studying and conversations Thursday evening (I should have been focusing on my poker game, but oh well, there's lots more chances in BBToo!) have switched my thinking on this race. I had loved Cherokee Triangle, but now I have to switch over to the foreign invaders: Achill Island, Strike The Deal and Domestic Fund. Brother Brent is supporting Gio Ponti. Bro's the stats man; I go more by instinct and feel, like on the felt. We thus make a good team, to the detriment of the pay windows. Sorry, bro, mine's gonna beat yours ... again. WINNER: 8-Achill Island. DARKHORSE: 4-Cherokee Triangle.
-- Dirt Mile (Race 10): Can Discreet Cat, so good last year as a 3-year-old and so touted until hurt earlier this year, be beaten now that he's back? I sure hope so! If so, this race is going to pay off fantastic, as there's a lot of evenly matched talent. Problem is, Brother Brent and I agree on this one, and that often spells expensive trouble! Gottcha Gold is a talented speedball at a good price; what's not to like? Even if he does have to worry about the likes of Xchanger, Wanderin Boy, Corinthian, Lewis Michael, the favored Cat ... But ya can't bet them all (like you shouldn't play every poker hand -- but who listens?). I love Gold horses; I love grays; I love the 69 combo (although women are more fun than horses, ya takes whatcha can gets!). I love fattening my bankroll in this race to position myself for Saturday's fun. WINNER: 6-Gottcha Gold (and be sure to exacta box him with 9-Xchanger). DARKHORSE: 3-Wanderin Boy.
Time to check the weather conditions, track biases and early-race tendencies. More laters. And they're off!!!...
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